When Punters Need More Luck Than Form
By Sharan Kumar
Pune racing produced another day when
favourites looked more like suggestions than selections, while outsiders
repeatedly helped themselves to the spoils. From 20-to-1 winners to fancied
runners finding creative ways to disappoint, punters were left wondering
whether the form book had quietly resigned. Upsets are the salt in racing’s
diet, but when they become the main course, the sport risks losing the
confidence of the very people who keep the betting ring alive.
The problem is not that outsiders win. That is part of
racing’s charm. The problem arises when the same pattern keeps repeating
itself: stables enter two or more horses, good jockeys are put up on all of
them, and punters are left trying to work out which one is actually expected to
win. Inevitably, the horse carrying the biggest price, and consequently
attracting the least attention, seems to find the winning post with remarkable
regularity.
At some point, one has to ask whether this is good for
the sport.
Bracketing horses from the same stable is
the obvious solution. There will, of course, be objections that
it could affect betting. But protecting the integrity of racing must rank above
protecting the betting turnover. In any case, a substantial portion of betting
is outside the formal system. What racing desperately needs is not merely more
betting but greater confidence among those who bet.
A punter does not expect to win every race. He does,
however, expect to believe that he has a reasonable chance of reading a race
correctly. If he repeatedly finds that form, class, jockey bookings and stable
reputation count for little, he will eventually take his money elsewhere. And
there are plenty of other gambling outlets waiting with open arms.
That would be a far bigger loss to racing than any
theoretical reduction in betting caused by bracketing.
The 1800 metres Rajaram Chhatrapati Trophy provided
the perfect opening act. It was widely regarded as a straight fight between
last year’s Pune Derby winner Zacharias and Youremanorborne, who
had won twice impressively at Bangalore. The pair attracted almost equal
support.
Naturally, neither obliged.
The surprise package was trainer Pradeep Chouhan’s
other runner Break Point, sent off at a generous 20 to 1. With Vivek G
in the saddle, Break Point simply went to the front and turned the race into a
personal time trial, winning by four lengths.
Youremanorborne struggled to pick up speed, while
Zacharias looked nothing like the horse who had won last year’s Pune Derby.
Golden Dancer was third.
For the punters, it was a reminder that the favourite
board is sometimes less a guide than a piece of decorative information.
The 1400 metres Yohan Z Poonawalla Turf Club Trophy
looked considerably safer. Encino, winner of her last two starts in
impressive fashion, was expected to continue her winning run. The slight
reservation was that she was now taking on more seasoned opposition.
Once again, Pradeep Chouhan had a surprise tucked
away.
His Ultimo, quoted at 20 to 1, fought with
great determination and held off Encino by a whisker. Kavya was third.
Jockey Sandesh lodged an objection, arguing that
Dashrath Singh had failed to control the winner's outward drift and that this
had affected Encino. The Stewards dismissed the objection.
The Chief Stipe stated that Dashrath Singh had made an
attempt to correct the drift but nevertheless described the riding as careless.
That was a curious piece of reasoning. If the jockey was making efforts to
correct the drift and prevent interference, calling the riding careless
requires a little more explanation.
Otherwise, we may soon have to introduce another
racing term: carefully careless riding.
The 1200 metres Western India Race Horse Owners
Association Trophy for horses rated 80 and above saw Credence, trained
by Shazaan Shah, backed with confidence. The favourite led until close home,
when Shambala, from the Nazak B Chenoy stable, produced a strong
finishing burst to steal the race.
Market King narrowly failed to overhaul Credence and
finished third.
The 1200 metres Western India Trainers’ Association
Trophy produced another surprise. Faisal Abbas-trained Undercover was
the on-money favourite, but Santana Row refused to read the script.
Undercover headed briefly in the final stages, only for Santana Row to fight
back and win by a neck. Believe was third.
In the lower division, the horse carrying the name Spotlight
attracted plenty of attention. But it was Narendra Lagad-trained Esteban
who enjoyed the real spotlight. He led from start to finish and held off
Spotlight, with Majestic Warrior third.
Malesh Narredu-trained Enrich was expected to
do precisely what his name suggested in the 1600 metres Jockeys Association of
India Trophy. Instead, he failed to enrich anybody.
Vortex, who had shown
forward form at Bangalore, had the fitness to take charge by the final furlong
and held off Alexios to land the spoils. Shaandaar was a distant third.
The 1600 metres India Association of Equine
Practitioners Trophy for maiden three-year-olds saw substantial support for
Imtiaz Sait-trained Age of Reason and Red Rose. Age of Reason’s
odds collapsed close to race time, and fortunately for his supporters, Neeraj
Rawal got him up in the closing stages to catch long shot Monterey.
Tempo was third, while Red Rose disappointed.
The Strategic Move Plate, over 1000 metres for horses
in the lowest category, provided an appropriately named finale to a day when
the punters themselves needed a strategic move.
Ashwa Ankara
attracted strategic support. But Kasbekar-trained Adonis had the better
strategy, holding off She’s A Teaser to win at nourishing odds. Ashwa Ankara
finished strongly but could manage only third.
That, in essence, was Pune.
The favourites were being introduced as the stars of
the show, only for the outsiders to walk away with the prize money. The form
book was being consulted, analysed and presumably prayed over, while the
20-to-1 shots were quietly getting on with the business of winning.
Upsets make racing exciting. A procession of
inexplicable results makes punters suspicious.
There is a crucial difference.
Racing cannot afford to become a game in which the
only reliable method of selection is to identify the horse nobody else likes.
The punter may enjoy being proved wrong occasionally. He will not enjoy being
made to feel that studying the form is a waste of time.
If racing wants to retain its ordinary followers, it
has to give them something more valuable than an occasional jackpot: confidence
that the game is worth playing.
Otherwise, the biggest winner at Pune may eventually
be the punter who stayed at home.
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